The Storm may have looked the goods again last weekend, but Buck Sweeney can't see them getting over the Titans in this weekend's NRL match-up.
Melbourne v Gold Coast
1 unit on Gold Coast @ Betfair Match Odds of (2.70) or better
Melbourne appeared to return to their brilliant best last weekend but the opposition, Penrith, barely gave a yelp and coming off five straight losses the Storm smelt blood early.
They have been installed as heavy favourites this weekend, and in my opinion that makes them an ideal lay with the Titans a really good chance of pinching this one.
The Titans have been in good form of late, winning seven of their last 11 including an impressive 4-2 record on the road. They were also unlucky not to get the money against Souths, thanks to some horrendous refereeing.
The Storm have won their last three against the Titans by an average of 25 points but this one is going to be a lot tighter.
The Titans forward pack is clearly superior and their ability to score also appears a little stronger than the boys from the south.
Penrith v Canberra
2 units on Penrith @ Betfair Odds of (1.90) or better
If you follow one tip this weekend, make sure it's this one: stay away from Canberra at worse than even money.
They are a shocking six from 19 against the spread when favoured by the market and the weight of expectation is nearly always too much to handle for the boys from the nation's capital.
In what has become somewhat the norm, the Raiders were strong last week against Brisbane, which was a natural form reversal from the week prior when they were belted at home by Newcastle. It's a concerning trend.
Penrith on the other hand have won five of the last seven against the Raiders including three of those four in Canberra. While I will acknowledge the Panthers have lost 10 of their last 13 at home, the Raiders have been off the pace by an average of 17 in their last three as favourite.
The Panthers are well worth a play here.
Canterbury v Brisbane
3 units on Canterbury @ Betfair Odds of (1.30) or better
Canterbury have now put together 10 wins on the trot and it seems unlikely they will be threatened by a Brisbane team who have dropped three straight and appear to be in free fall, having won just four matches in their last twelve.
In that run, Brisbane have a 1-4 record against teams currently in the top eight and are 1-5 away from Suncorp Stadium.
The Bulldogs are flying at the moment, with their defence the most impressive aspect of their game - Canterbury have allowed more than 20 points just once this year and they have not scored fewer than 20 points since round ten.
Having won four of their last six against Brisbane and their last five at ANZ by an average of 19 points, it is hard to see the Bulldogs getting rolled by an out of form Broncos team.