Betting tips / Ben Caudell / 22 January 2012 / Leave a comment Bet Now View Market

Ben Caudell admits that it may have been awhile since Jelena Jankovic was at her best, but she will still take it right up to world number one Caroline Wozniacki, reminding her she's a former world number one herself.

Four Reasons to back Jelena Jankovic @[3.0] to defeat Caroline Wozniacki

•Jankovic holds an all-important 4-3 head-to-head series lead over world number one Wozniacki with three of those match wins being played on the hard-court surface (Indian Wells 2010, Doha 2009, US Open 2008)

•The former world number one, who is currently ranked fourteen in the world, steam-rolled through to the fourth round, conceding only ten games in total. She has won five of her last six at Grand Slam level, four of her last five on hard-courts and four of her last five in Australia.

•The Serbian comes into today's match holding a superior match rating (Match Ratings assess form specific to the current tournament conditions and the opposing player taking into account the head-to-head series) surface rating, and predicted chance of winning (67%) Therefore there is definite value in backing the consistent baseliner at [3.0] in the match odds.

•Jankovic also benefits from her Australian Open tournament stats, having higher break points won count, second serve return points won, and first serve points won.


Five Reasons to Lay Roger Federer 3-0 @ [1.86] against Bernard Tomic

•There's no doubting the credentials of Bernard Tomic as a future top-tenner, especially with the amazing start he has had to the 2012 season, winning nine of his ten opening matches and reaching the fourth round of a Grand Slam for the second time in the space of twelve months.

•The Australian number one has had the benefit of having played Roger Federer in a Davis Cup match in September last year in which the youngster managed to take a set off the Fed Express and on the multi-Grand Slam winner's favourite grass court surface (6-2 7-5 3-6 6-3)

•From Tomic's seven matches against top-ten players and on hard-courts, the Australian has won four and lost three, however, he has won at least one set from five of those matches. In fact Tomic has played top ten players on all surfaces only eleven times and from those eleven, he has won at least one set on nine occasions.

•Home favourite Bernard will have the advantage of the Australian supporters cheering on every point against Federer in this eagerly-awaited match. So far this support has given him that extra 10% of fortune to get through his first three matches; he came from two sets down against Fernando Verdasco in round one, defeated Sam Querrey in four and dispatched of Dolgopolov in another tense five set thriller.

•Tomic will have a predicted record number of TV viewers tuning in to watch him play the number three seed and tennis idol of the 19 year-old. With such good stats coming into this match, who can deny him taking at least one set? Tomic has won six matches in a row overall, four of his last five in five sets matches, six in a row in Australia, and six in a row on hard-courts.