Betting tips / Harry Redknapp / 21 June 2012 / Leave a comment Bet Now View Market

Harry Redknapp maybe purring over where England sits in the Euro 2012 at the moment but the former Spurs manager is struggling to split England and Italy ahead the quarter-final.

'England, Euro 2012 Group D winners' - sounds nice doesn't it?

We had a little bit of luck on our side last night, but we got the job done again, to make it two wins from three and top spot in our group (landing one of Harry's pre-tournament bets).

And with the bonus of Sweden beating France, we've been handed a quarter-final against Italy rather than Spain, but let's not get ahead of ourselves...Sunday night is going to be tough and tight.

I don't know about you, but I'm thinking penalties already!

I see the Betfair markets are having a tough time splitting us (Editor's note: England are currently @ Betfair odds of (3.0) to win the match, Italy 2.84; England are(9.6) to win Euro 2012, Italy 9.8) and I'm in the same boat. This is a real 50/50 game for me, with both teams capable of cancelling each other out. I think it'll be low-scoring and a real nail-biter.

Gerrard is one of the best

First things first...we didn't keep the ball particularly well against Ukraine and there were some sticky moments, particularly so early on, and of course that disallowed goal.

But there were enough positives for me, the biggest being the performance of Steven Gerrard. The Liverpool captain is one of the world's best, he can do everything and he showed us that last night. He is a true competitor, he attacks the ball and I think he's enjoying the responsibility of captaincy. He is the complete all-round footballer, he's got the lot and, most importantly, he plays for us!

Gerrard is having a superb tournament and is one of those players who gives you real belief in your team. That partnership with Scott Parker is key and they'll both have to be at their best against Italy.

Everyone in Ukraine will be feeling pretty down after being on the wrong end of another bad call in a big tournament. The hosts did score an equaliser last night, but it seems there's always a moment like this when the Euros or World Cup comes round, and it's usually awarded against us.

That's got plenty of people talking about luck and it's true that it can play a major part in this game - Chelsea showed that in the Champions League - but you can have all the luck in the world, and it'll be no good to you if you don't perform.

Ukraine should have been awarded a goal but let's not forget we were 1-0 up at the time. England had got themselves into a winning position and even with the equaliser we were still going through. Of course, Ukraine could have kicked on, but we will never know. I feel for them, but that's the game.

I'm really not worried about Wayne Rooney. He wasn't at his best, but he is a threat - he scored the only goal of the game, don't forget - and a true world-class talent. Don't worry, we'll see the best of him.

The Italian challenge

Unless we suffer a training ground injury or two, I can't see any changes for the Italy game. Roy has tinkered with the XI a little bit, with Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain and Andy Carroll each getting a run-out in the group games, but otherwise it's all been the same guys in there. James Milner has started all three with Theo Walcott making an impact as a sub and that'll be the same against Italy, I'm sure. Carroll and Walcott are scary players to bring in late on with that combination of power and pace. If we're trailing, Italy will fear them.

We know what England bring now. We're organised, hard-working, solid and strong. The defence is settled and the right and leftbacks give us attacking options; Gerrard and Parker are a marvellous base and there's pace and trickery up top.

I've said this'll be tough and tight and the half-time score of 0-0 and 1-1 are bets for me at @(2.5) and @(10.0)

Finally, I've already mentioned penalties and at double figures for either team to win on spot kicks after extra time I've got to have a couple of quid on. They're a lottery so I'll be backing both teams.

If England go out at least I'll take a profit with me!

Recommended Betfair Bets

2pt Back 0-0 halftime score @(2.5)
1pt back 1-1 halftime score @(10.0)
0.5 pt Back England to win on penalties @(11.0)
0.5 pt Back Italy to win on penalties @(10.0)