Betting tips / Brad Thompson / 01 September 2011 / Leave a comment Bet Now View Market

Hurricane Irene attempted to derail the second leg of the Fedex Play-offs, but she came a week early and Brad Thompson for one is thankful that the Deutsche Bank Championship will go ahead in Boston.

With a scoring average of below 70 for the TPC Boston layout, it will be seen as a snack for the world's premier players.

Expect a shoot-out around the 7304 yard track (par 71), especially after Irene put plenty of moisture into the fairway and greens.

We had some success by electing to shelve a few dimes on Dustin Johnson last week at $40 in The Barclays, so traders should have a few dollars to play with in what looks a nice tournament to bet in.

Jason Day continued his season of consistency last week, with three rounds of no worse than three under, earning him a tie for 13th. From his last 18 starts, he has a 50% strike rate in finishing within the top ten, and TPC Boston looks his kind of course.

We all know Day relishes the chance to go really low, and the winner will need do that probably at least twice during the tournament.

This time last year, he put the writing on the wall that he was set to emerge as one of the game's leading players this season when he came runner-up at the 2010 Deutsche Bank after leading at the 54-hole mark.

For a top-10 finish, $2.82 is short enough, but looks very appealing, as does the $23 to win the tournament.

Back Jason Day ($23 Betfair - $19 TAB) and $2.82 for a top-10 finish

It wouldn't surprise to see fellow Aussie Geoff Ogilvy perform well here.

There's good money to suggest he can finish high here on exchange. Normally the differential between Betfair and TAB is double for any player in excess of $50.

But not so this time for Ogilvy.

It's no reason to bypass the solid ball-striker, with his price of $70 on Betfair still very attractive. He missed the cut last week, which is of some concern, but he has a knack of turning form around at venues he enjoys. TPC at Boston is one of those.

Back Geoff Ogilvy ($70 Betfair - $51 TAB) and $7 top-10 on Betfair.

I'm leaning against Adam Scott winning here (but not brave enough to advise laying him).

Despite backing him in at several starts this year - and him being right amongst it at the business end - I'm not totally convinced he has the firepower to go really deep.

And that's what the winner of this tournament will need to do. The only reason not to lay him was that he was just six shots off the pace here last year and is playing much better than then.

If you want to back him, perhaps take a chunk of the $2.6 for the top-10 finish.

It's hard to overlook Nick Watney, given the way he can catch fire in serious style with the flat-stick.

A final round of 64 last week at The Barclays tells me he isn't far away from another victory. He tied for 33rd here in Boston last year too.

Back Nick Watney ($25 Betfair - $19 TAB)

Ian Poulter stormed home last week with a final round of 64 at The Barclays, and at the 2010 Deutsche Bank posted two good rounds at the bookends of the tournament. There's a good case to suggest a few dollars on Poulter at long odds.

Back Ian Poulter ($110 Betfair - $67 TAB) and $7 top 10 on Betfair

Jason Dufner played stylishly at the Deutsche Bank last year with a top-20 finish. He might finally be over the scarring of the USPGA Championship and ready to hit back.

Back Jason Dufner ($130 Betfair - $67 TAB) and $8 top-10 on Betfair.

If you're looking to lay one of them go with tournament favourite Luke Donald at $15.5.

Put simply, he is a non-winner and fails to position himself into a position to strike.