Round 5 AFL Preview: Footy Park Hoodoo to Bring Saints Back To Earth
St. Kilda have been outstanding through four rounds of 2009 but their winning run will come to an end on Friday night, writes Nick Tedeschi.
The Saints have really flown the blocks in 2009. They have opened up the season with four straight victories and finally look to be fulfilling the potential that has gone relatively untapped over the last few seasons.
St. Kilda this week travel to Adelaide for the second time this season and though they defeated the Crows in a hard fought contest in round two, they have not had a happy time at Footy Park.
St. Kilda have won only five of twenty contests at the ground and have not defeated Port Adelaide there since 1997. Combined with the fact the Power enter the match on the back of a confidence building demolition of Hawthorn and the fact this is the Saints second interstate game in a month, all signs are pointing to a Port victory.
The Power can be confidently bet down to 1.65.
Collingwood have defeated Essendon in four of their last six encounters including the last three Anzac Day clashes. The Pies ended their Brisbane hoodoo last Friday and the likes of Tarkyn Lockyer and John Anthony are running into form. Collingwood at the minus is the top wager for traders.
Hawthorn have been on struggle street this season but West Coast have offered very little away from Subiaco with their last match away from home a 97 point loss to St. Kilda. Hawthorn goes well down at York Park, winning 8 of their last 11 in Tasmania, and can be supported at the hefty minus.
North Melbourne have beaten Richmond in six of their last seven matches and Richmond are playing just hideous football. Traders can hit North will total confidence in both the winner and handicap markets.
Fremantle have won only three of their last fifteen against the Swans and have embarrassed the Docker name in four games this year. Sydney spotting a very small start is an outstanding wager.
Brisbane have not got within 17 points in their last five encounters with Geelong and in two of the last three matches at Skilled Stadium have been held to less than 40 points. With Geelong really starting to hit their straps, expect the Cats to dish out a major hiding to the Lions.
Carlton have defeated the Western Bulldogs in each of the last two seasons and with a better list this season can make it three on the trot. The Bulldogs are also come into the match on the back of their second Perth trip of the season. Carlton can be wagered as the underdog.
Adelaide have won seven of their last nine against Melbourne and Melbourne have lost their best player in Brad Green. The Crows can be bet straight out and spotting up to four goals start.