AFL Betting: Hawks to hang hoodoo out to dry
The Cats have been labelled ‘arrogant’ and ‘selfish’ in the media this week, and make no mistake, they’ll be out to respond.
Mark Ricciuto had a profitable start to the AFL season, with its nail biters and upsets, even if Richmond did let him down again...
Like last week, the second round of the year can often be difficult to predict, with sides still feeling their way, and early form hard to gauge.
Brisbane v Carlton
To kick off the round, on Thursday evening Brisbane takes on Carlton at the Gabba. Both sides are coming off good wins in round one, with Carlton, in defeating Richmond, showing pre-season form can often mean nothing, while Brisbane was excellent against a very ordinary Melbourne.
Having played last Thursday evening, Carlton has enjoyed a week's break in comparison to Brisbane's five days, so should be refreshed. The Blues' back-line should be buoyed with the potential return of Michael Jamison and Nick Duigan, whereas the Lions will still be without Jonathan Brown who is recovering from facial fractures.
Taking this into account, the Blues to cover the line of 20.5pts ($1.96) is my bet of the round.
Geelong v Hawthorn
The match of the round is on Easter Monday when Geelong takes on Hawthorn at the MCG.
Hawthorn had a very good win against the Pies last week, while Geelong lost in a close-but-bruising encounter with Fremantle. The loss of Matthew Scarlett to suspension after his love tap on Hayden Ballantyne couldn't have come at a worse time for the Cats who run into a potent Hawks forward line, with Buddy Franklin in form and Jarryd Roughead a good chance to return.
The Cats have been labelled 'arrogant' and 'selfish' in the media this week, and make no mistake, they'll be out to respond.
They also have a terrific record against the Hawks, having not been beaten since they lost to them in the 2008 Grand Final. Despite their good record, they are returning from Perth and the loss of Scarlett is a big one.
Coupled with important names like Hunt, Varcoe, Wojcisnski, Vardy and Menzel missing, the Hawks ($1.60) should record their first win over the Cats since 2008.
West Coast v Melbourne
After a horror week, Melbourne will be looking to respond against a strong West Coast Eagles side.
No doubt, the death of Jim Stynes had a big impact on the club...however, the playing group looked emotionally drained against the Lions.
They'll be out to do their former president and supporters proud by going over to the west and showing some improvement. The Eagles ($1.07) will win, and maybe win by plenty, however, the line of 77.5pts is quite large and I don't plan to get involved in it.
Adelaide v Western Bulldogs
In round one, the Bulldogs lacked some direction up forward without Barry Hall and some class in the absence of Ryan Griffen and Callan Ward through the midfield. While Griffen looks likely to return, Hall and Ward won't be there this week to face an in-form Adelaide Crows, or in the future.
The Bulldogs are missing their best key defenders in Dale Morris and Tom Williams, and it showed, with Josh Kennedy kicking seven goals last week. The Crows ($1.26) will be looking for Kurt Tippett and Taylor Walker to take advantage of this, and should win. Be cautious if betting on the long line of 60.5pts as night footy at a dewy AAMI Stadium can make for a scrappy contest which could help the Dogs.
I plan to steer clear of the Essendon vs Port Adelaide, and Sydney vs Fremantle games. Both make for close contests with all sides in form, and injury concerns to key players makes it hard to predict the outcomes.
Happy Easter and I hope you enjoy another big round of footy.